Category: 2024 elections

Right now, in the aftermath of victory or defeat, things look rosy or depressing.  Clear away the fog of euphoria or sadness.  Settle down.  Here’s what I take from the results:

I was wrong about Trump’s chances.  I overplayed Trump’s negatives.  Not that he doesn’t have any.  He’s got plenty.  Not that he wasn’t the weakest general election candidate in the GOP stable.  He still is.  The fact remains that the country is center-right, and the Dems fell off the left cliff.  Trump had the advantage of a thoroughly discredited opposition party.  At this moment, I wonder if the great bulk of the country just had enough of the left’s culture war; its eco-assault on the kitchen table, shelter, the gas tank, electricity, and the family sedan; and the socialist spending spree fueling an out-of-whack economy.

Thus, this was actually a change election, a dash away from what the Democratic Party has become.  Trump didn’t have to be loved.  He only had to be viewed by a majority as better than the alternative.  Now, no longer facing a billion-dollar smear campaign and a recent history of radical left policies to lambast, I expect Trump’s negatives to eventually revert to norm.  Where I went wrong is in not recognizing the very simple and smart calculus of it being either him or them.

But don’t forget, tomorrow is another day.

And don’t dismiss the fact that the Republicans were better organized this time around.  The craziness of running an election during a pandemic, and given the Democrats’ chomping at the bit to “never let a crisis go to waste” by pushing through wild election law changes, left the Republicans flat-footed in 2020.  Legislative changes were made at the state level to smooth the rough edges, but the asinine mailed ballot remains.  Still, kudos to the RNC.  It’s proof that even Republicans are open to life’s lessons.

Will Trump II be a repeat of Trump I?  The guy may be either more unhinged or older and wiser.  We’ll see.  Will he be as stubborn as Biden, who forced an Afghanistan bugout at all costs, in imposing a rash of protective tariffs on friend and foe alike?  All of this without addressing our own role in hampering American manufacturing.  American mismanagement, unions, and regulation did more than Asia to wreak havoc on GM and USX.  Will he sellout Ukraine to Putin?  What about federal spending which is putting America on a path to Argentina?  Early indications aren’t promising.

Storm clouds, many of them possibly of Trump’s own making, loom over a second term.  Good luck, America.

Oh, and I don’t blame you for not listening to me.

RogerG

Pearl Jam’s Eddie Vedder is hot across streaming channels proclaiming “democracy is on the ballot” in a dash to get everyone to vote.  Well, Eddie, if there are people who shouldn’t have driver’s licenses, there are people who shouldn’t vote.  If you don’t care enough to know anything, don’t plague the rest of us with your choices.  Also, not voting can be very rational and the best option.

It’s more than that.  Democracy is not on the ballot.  Democracy is a factor in our system of governance, not the determinant, especially when we choose a president across the 50 different states.  Eddie, it’s a republic under law. 50%-plus-one isn’t how we govern ourselves.  We choose representatives by popular vote in single districts apportioned to each state after every census per The Constitution.  Senate representation, though, is equal among the 50 states, regardless of the number of warm – and maybe not so warm – bodies on its sacred soil, and is not subject to amendment (Article V, last phrase).  The Electoral College ensures that we are governed by more than New York City, California’s coastal plain, and Chicago’s Democratic political machine.

Eddie needs a civics education.  And maybe some History too.  The dividing line between a mob/mass tyranny and democracy is a blurry one, shifting with the groupthink tides.  Popularly elected tyranny is still tyranny.  The late 18th-century Parisian mobs – the soldiers of the Reign of Terror – and going back further to the Melian Massacre (416 B.C.) by Athens are but two examples of popular brutalities.  History is festooned with democratic inhumanities.  The Jews have been victimized by them for centuries.

As we gear up for the November 5 election, two things stand out about our “democracy”: the drive to circumvent the states in the Electoral College in the “National Popular Vote Interstate Compact” (NPV) and the simple fact that the popular vote is a fiasco.  The second one undermines the first.

The NPV is an enthusiasm of the Left (liberal, progressive, socialist, whatever) due to the occasional breakthrough of the Right in the Electoral College.  They’d like to close off any avenue of escape from their clutches each 4-year election cycle.  With the NPV, the choice of president would reflect the norms of the Acela Corridor, Chicago, and the California coastal plain.  All other urban nodes imitate them.  That’s right, run up the score by hook or by crook in a few congested spots and, voilà, the mayor of Los Angeles is next in line to be president.  I jest . . . or am I? (See #3 below)

30-point margins in New York and California might do the trick.  Right now, these two states are shedding residents like my dogs shed hair in the summer; yet, they still possess a wreaking left-wing critical mass to make a neo-Marxist the betting choice to run the executive branch and much more.  Xi is more popular in these places than a Republican.

Any state to vote for this thing (NPV) outside these hotbeds of left-wing activism is by implication violating their oath of state office in sacrificing the choice of their people to the whims of New York and California.  It’s an impeachable offense, or should be.  It’s probably unconstitutional as well.  The NPV violates the 14th Amendment’s privileges and immunities clause, and as a compact, it must be approved by Congress.  This one skips over Congress.

The compact is a conspiracy among states equaling 270 electoral votes to gang up on the others.  It creates the likely scenario of someone with the barest of majority to lock in the presidency, even though he or she reflects the worldview of only a quarter of the states.

How accurate is that popular vote?  Who knows?  These left-wing one-party states don’t clean their voter rolls, exceedingly complicate the voting process by allowing noncitizens to vote in local elections, and created barriers to voter verification.  Once deposited and stripped of its envelope (if mail-in), the ballot from whatever source, by whomever, cannot be retrieved from the humungous pile.  The culprit could even be convicted of vote fraud but the vote will still count.  It’s untraceable.

How often does this happen?  Who knows?  It’s rarely found out due to the nature of the secret ballot – a godsend but makes the fraudulent vote untraceable once deposited.  Since the process is so loosey-goosey in these states, the malefactor must admit to it and bring it to the attention of authorities before anything is done, but the illegal vote will still be counted.

Left-wing donkey party registrars and secretaries of state try to allay fears by saying that voter fraud is so rare.  The percentage number is bogus.  They take the number of discovered incidents, which are infinitesimal, against the total number of votes cast to produce a statistical piece of nonsense.  It’s a lie because they, and no one, can ever know the full picture of fraud given the way they have set up and run show.  Without a culprit standing out like a sore thumb or walking up to them and admitting to the crime, life goes on and the donkey party candidate wins by 30 points.  There’s your “virtuous” national popular vote.

We have a recent and shameful example (see #1 and #2 below).  A University of Michigan noncitizen student voted and submitted his ballot.  Later, he asked for it back, maybe after realizing that it was illegal, or simple second thoughts.  Only then were authorities aware of the criminal act, when the offender brought it to their attention.  And he won’t be getting it returned; it can’t be; it’s dispersed into the ocean of early-vote ballots.

What happens in a close election when a tidal wave of ballots flood the thousands of local voting bureaucracies around the country?  Well, get ready for a months-long battle in the media and courts as our embarrassment of a “democracy” plays out in full view to the rest of the world.  Recently, we have a habit of close presidential elections.  In 1960, JFK beat Nixon by a scant .17% in the popular vote.  The 1968 election was won by Nixon by .7%. Trump and the Dems have been locked in an evenly matched embrace since 2016.  This election might continue in this pattern.  Our democracy is a debacle.

That’s our “democracy” for you.  We get to vote on things and offices that we don’t understand.  Campaigns don’t inform, only gaslight us.  Every election is not decision time.  It’s a looting expedition in how much we can load up on the national debt, and thus on our kids, or on the backs of the “rich”.  The NFL has a 5-month season, just like our election “seasons”.  Ballots are thrown about in the mail; monster blue states won’t verify identity; and early voting is a ticket to rashness.

I long for the days when we had a deliberative republic.  We elect representatives to debate, deliberate, and decide the great issues before the republic.  We choose a chief executive that reflects the wishes of a broad swath of the country, and who stays in his lane of the administration of the laws.  And all within a matrix of rights. Instead, we’ve gone from republic to shame.

Good luck, America.

RogerG

Sources:

1. “Joint statement of Secretary Benson and Washtenaw County Prosecutor Savit on charges filed in noncitizen voting case”, Michigan Department of State, 10/30/2024, at https://www.michigan.gov/sos/resources/news/2024/10/30/joint-statement-of-secretary-benson-and-washtenaw-county-prosecutor-savit-on-charges-filed
2. Thanks to Jim Geraghty of National Review for the information and sources In “The Election Crimes of 2024”, 11/4/2024, at https://www.nationalreview.com/the-morning-jolt/the-election-crimes-of-2024/
3. “The National Popular Vote Idea Is Unconstitutional and Should Be Abandoned”, Peter J. Wallison, National Review, 6/27/2023, at https://www.nationalreview.com/2023/06/the-national-popular-vote-idea-is-unconstitutional-and-should-be-abandoned/