The 21st Century’s Kabuki Theater

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President Joe Biden delivers remarks on gun crime and his “Safer America Plan” during an event in Wilkes Barre, Pa., August 30, 2022. (Kevin Lamarque/Reuters)

* Kabuki Theater: euphemism meaning posturing and diplomatic ritual to excess.  Posturing can include effecting a stance in support of your party’s radicalism.  Excessive diplomatic ritual can include today’s virtue signaling.

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Why must science be littered with non-science and public discussions revel in incoherent banalities?  Even in seemingly sensible write-ups that rely on scientific expertise, we’ll run into the occasional assertion that jumps the evidence and logic.  Furthermore, public figures babble in a string of emotive, highly charged phrases without much support or reasoning that advance understanding.  The drivel rears most prominently when talk strays to climate change and guns.

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Science is inductive, the scientific method, evidence, empiricism, falsifiability.  That isn’t true when it comes to climate change, formerly known by a host of other monikers.  In an otherwise sane piece by Richard Luthy, Stanford prof of civil and environmental engineering, on how California could harness the recent storm runoff to address water needs, he polluted his sensible suggestion about using aquifers as cisterns to store the runoff with the hackneyed contention that man has made a shambles of the climate.  It certainly gets the ruling donkey party off the hook for running the state into the ground . . . instead of the storm water.

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Like its poorly maintained forests that erupt into historic conflagrations, rickety electricity grid, and an aging water system built for 10 million fewer people, the state’s dangerous water shortage is a consequence of a ruling ideological orthodoxy translated into policy that has run roughshod over the state for decades.

It’s not that California voters didn’t punch the ticket for billions for water projects.  Prop 1 in 2014 set aside $7.1 billion, and Props 68 and 3 in 2018 added almost $13 billion.  Out of the $20 billion, about a third went to “Habitat Restoration”, play money for the eco-zealots. “Water Infrastructure” and “Reservoir Storage” account for only 43% of the total.

Officials inspect Oroville Dam's crippled spillway Tuesday, Feb. 28, 2017, in Oroville, Calif ...
Officials inspect Oroville Dam’s crippled spillway Tuesday, Feb. 28, 2017, in Oroville, Calif. California water authorities stopped the flow of water down the spillway, Monday, allowing workers to begin clearing out massive debris that’s blocking a hydroelectric plant from operating. (AP Photo/Rich Pedroncelli)

Californians thought that they were getting more water, but obviously aren’t.  Where’s the new reservoirs, aqueducts, and recharge basins?  It’s been eight years.  I suspect that water projects face the same fate of any big construction in the state.  They get strangled in the crib by California red tape and the delaying tactics of eco-activists (lawsuits, political skullduggery, etc.).  Compounding the morass is the ideological affinity between the state’s bureaucratic minions and the zealots.  So, in the end, you get the eco stuff, which is unchallenged, and not an ounce of additional water for you.

Don’t lay the problem at the feet of fossil fuels.  Dry years should be expected in dry-summer climates.  The Mediterranean climate that hovers over most of the state, with its dry-summer regime, only produces an annual precipitation average of 6-25 inches.  The drier the climate, the more erratic is the precipitation.  California has experienced 11 periods of drought since 1841, some lasting as long as seven years.  At the time of the Middle Ages in Europe, California was mired in two long droughts, one lasted 220 years and the other 140.  Dry-summer means a short window to get moisture, and if you don’t get it in those few months, you go without.  Drought is a feature, not a stranger to the area, and not an effect of our love affair with the automobile, suburbia, and indoor lighting.  The phenomena happened when only hunter-gatherers were around.

California drought is the most severe in at least 1,200 years
Tree rings show megadrought 1,200 years ago in California.

An engineer and scientist like Luthy should know better.  The mention, as he does, of dry periods since 2000 is scant reason to let the Sacramento clown car off the hook.  It’s even more of a scandal to science to use the incidents since 2000 as proof of climate change being the root of our evils.  It’s hooey.  The simple fact of the matter is that two-thirds of the water falls over the sparsely populated one-third of the state, in a region prone to drought since the end of the last ice age.  Someone should take notice rather than foolishly run interference for the dolts in Sacramento and the state’s electorate.

The national electorate fairs no better sometimes.  We’ve got a guy in the oval office who would be better off in a retirement home under close medical supervision.  It must be admitted that Biden has an excuse – he’s old – but the under-50’s in the party sound no more intelligible.  Mention “guns” and the limbic part of their brain takes over.  Images of tv/movie shootouts immediately overwhelm what little they know on the subject.  For Biden, as ossified in the brain as he is, he trots out one banality after another leaving the public in a state of bewilderment.

Charles C. W. Cooke writes of Biden’s use of trite rhetorical phrases when he talks about firearms.  Biden trundles them out like Bill Clinton’s stock of pickup lines for seducing the hired help.  Some of Biden’s juicy ones include “You can’t buy a cannon”, “Deer don’t wear Kevlar”, and my personal favorite, “If you want to take on the federal government, you need some F-15s, not an AR-15.”  When in the history of our citizen republic is it proper for government to tell you what you need?  Any government that can tell you what you need is one that treats its public as a collection of wooden puppets.  Government as puppet master turns the popular sovereignty thing upside down.

Cartoon of the Day: The Political Puppet Master - Essex Watch

The late George Orwell had some interesting things to say, per Cooke, about your alleged need for “some F-15s” to take on the federal government.  For Orwell, government’s possession of sophisticated weaponry in relation to the citizen was a prerequisite for despotism: “Ages in which the dominant weapon is expensive or difficult to make will tend to be ages of despotism, whereas when the dominant weapon is cheap and simple, the common people have a chance.”  Rifles and grenades are inherently democratic, and F-15s, aircraft carriers, and hypersonics are not.  Biden’s formulation reduces the citizen to prostrate serfs, only getting the weapons that meet the approval of Biden’s commissars.

He completely misses the point of the Second Amendment.  Cooke reminds us that the Constitution was made by a bunch of “insurrectionists” – people who birthed a country in armed revolt against a tyrannical government.  The act of taking up arms against their government was memorialized in the Declaration of Independence: “Whenever any form of government becomes destructive of these ends, it is the right of the people to alter or abolish it . . . .”  Thankfully, we aren’t there yet.

But lately, there’s been some extended eyebrow raising.  Your government school indoctrinates your kids in neo-Marxist revolutionary dogmas; the attempt to establish censorship boards under the guise of “misinformation”; the attacks on the faithful for their refusal to violate their creeds when they refuse to kowtow to the government-approved zeitgeist; the loose talk among some of the powerful calling for gun confiscation; the refusal to enforce laws to protect people, property, and businesses; threats of taking away our gas stoves and cars and fuel under color of “saving the planet”; our children are prevented from receiving awards of excellence, such as National Merit Scholarships, because of government’s slavish devotion to neo-Marxist “equity”; our immigration laws are not enforced which tosses down the border exposing us to intensified villainy; our girls aren’t safe in their locker rooms, bathrooms, and in competitions; infanticide under the rhetorical rubric of “abortion”; child genital mutilation under “gender-affirming care” without parental knowledge and consent; and government turning a conspicuous blind eye as investment houses play revolutionary footsie (ESG) with my retirement.  Did I miss anything?

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Now Biden wants to tell me how many cartridges I can have in my gun.  He forgets that the citizen’s right to firearms stems from a tradition that goes back to before the English Bill of Rights (1689).  Those “Protestants” in the English Bill of Rights wanted their weapons to protect themselves from more than a burglar.  Speaking of the limbic system of government apparatchiks, buried deep within it is the knowledge that the country’s citizens are armed thanks to the Second Amendment.  American citizens aren’t prostrate serfs.

One of the key purposes of the Second Amendment is the right of the people to protect themselves not from government but the people in the government, the kind of people who would force citizens into acts that violate their faith, censor their speech, and make their life a living hell.  Much of that government knavery is sanctioned carte blanche by climate change delirium.  Combine the revolutionary dictums with Biden’s butchery of the country’s founding and we end up impoverished and manacled before our rulers.

It’s an insidious Kabuki Theater.

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RogerG

Read more here:

* “Rain finally came to California. We blew our chance to use it”, Richard G. Luthy, San Francisco Chronicle, 1/17/23, at https://www.sfchronicle.com/opinion/openforum/article/Rain-came-to-California-we-blew-chance-to-use-it-17723529.php#:~:text=Rain%20finally%20came%20to%20California.%20We%20blew%20our,received.%20Patrick%20Tehan%20%2F%20Special%20to%20the%20Chronicle
* “How Much California Water Bond Money Is For Storage?”, Edward Ring, 8/9/2018, California Policy Center, at https://californiapolicycenter.org/how-much-california-water-bond-money-is-for-storage/
* “California drought: Past dry periods have lasted more than 200 years, scientists say”, The Mercury News, at https://www.mercurynews.com/2014/01/25/california-drought-past-dry-periods-have-lasted-more-than-200-years-scientists-say/
* “Severe Ancient Droughts: A Warning to California”, New York Times, 7/19/1994, at https://www.nytimes.com/1994/07/19/science/severe-ancient-droughts-a-warning-to-california.html
* “Tree-Ring Study Reveals Historical Drought Record in Southern California”, 3/12/2018, California Dept. of Water Resources, at https://water.ca.gov/News/News-Releases/2018/March-18/Tree-Ring-Study-Reveals-Historical-Drought-Record-in-Southern-California
* “Biden’s Most Grotesque Gun-Control Argument”, Charles C.W. Cooke, National Review Online, 1/17/23, at https://www.nationalreview.com/2023/01/bidens-most-grotesque-gun-control-argument/

Putting Lipstick on a Pig

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Governor Gavin Newsom gives the inaugural address after taking the oath of office at his inauguration ceremony at the Capitol Mall in Sacramento, Calif., January 6, 2023. (Gary Coronado / Los Angeles Times via Getty Images)

Gavin Newsom regaled a state capitol audience with an attempt to apply makeup to a hog in his January 6 inaugural address.  The “lipstick on a pig” is more than a cliché.  How best to describe a surreal bid to portray a long-running fiasco as a “personal embrace of freedom”?  Will Swaim of the California Policy Center in his morning’s piece (1/15/23, see below) makes clear the state’s predicament to anyone with eyes to see.  California is a mess, big time!

Lipstick On A Pig Can't Fix A Bad Offer | Barron Marketing

Heck, California lost a congressman and has lost population for the third year in a row, not just a decline in the rate of growth when compare to other states, but actually went negative.  The state is shrinking.  It’s been building for decades only to accelerate in numbers that resemble the crowds stampeding the southern border.  Instead of heading north, they’re rushing east.  Apparently, many of the state’s existing and former residents don’t like the smell of Newsom’s “personal embrace of freedom”.  And the clowns that dominate the state government keep making the smell ever more pungent.

Swaim chronicles a growing list of recent executive and legislative perniciousness that is driving people pell-mell out the state, something Newsom blithely pretends isn’t happening.  The compendium of noxiousness knows no bounds.  Newsom berates “Red state politicians” (read DeSantis and Abbot) in his speech as possessing “authoritarian impulses” while he retains emergency powers, the go-to for history’s real Fascists.  Hitler didn’t replace the Weimar Constitution but ruled throughout under its Article 48 emergency powers up to his last days in the bunker.  Likewise, Newsom locked down the state and shuttered the schools longer than anywhere else, proving that when you scratch a progressive, a dogmatic authoritarian is exposed.

If you happen to be a doctor in the state, you might face prosecution under Newsom’s “misinformation” law since it is illegal to register qualms about the state’s medical proclamations because they are deified as the “contemporary scientific consensus”.  Patriotism isn’t the last refuge of the scoundrel. “Contemporary scientific consensus” is!  Past contemporary scientific consensuses included the luminiferous ether (space isn’t a vacuum), the heavenly vault (Copernicus’s ceiling beyond the solar system), Lamarckism (animal behavior determines mutations, not genetic diversity), etc.  The concept of “scientific consensus” as determinant of truth is ludicrous, but the state’s doctors will have to acquiesce in silence to avoid Galileo’s fate before the Inquisition.  Careerwise, it’s healthier to jump the Sierras seeking a post in a Boise hospital.  This is California “freedom”?  This is California’s new “liberty”?

Diagram with which Copernicus changed for the conception of the cosmos
For Copernicus, the solar system was the universe with the stars comprising a heavenly vault.

The state’s finances are drowning in unfunded mandates.  Rather than address this beast, Newsom and his goofs in Sacramento have proposed to ladle a reparations payment of $223,000 for each member of a supportive voting block: descendants of African slaves.  How do you determine the award winners?  I’m sure that they’ll come up with some cockamamie formula – they’ll have to – but watch the prospect of six-figure money attract Caucasians, Asians, Hispanics, transplanted Jamaicans, anyone who’ll claim mysterious ancestors who suffered under Simon Legree’s lash, much like Elizabeth Warren seeking Native American affirmative action points or others probing a cut of the casino profits.

POCAHONTAS 2.0: Elizabeth Warren Apologises To Cherokee Nation For Mocking Their Culture By ...

For the Sacramento clown car and its voter base, running the oppression lottery ranks higher than the provision of . . . water, without which we’d die after 3 days.  No new damns, reservoirs, or aqueducts have been added since the state’s population was 23 million in 1980.  It’s 39 million today (and shrinking). And that 100- to 40-year-old infrastructure wears out. No alternative sources such as desalinization are on the horizon.  Last year, California’s bureaucratic behemoth, the Coastal Commission, rejected a proposed plant near Costa Mesa.  No additional water for you, California.  You have nothing to look forward to but draconian state rationing and brown lawns, withering crops, and 30-second showers every other day by state edict.  Don’t expect the recent downpours to rescue you.  The water is flushing out to the sea and not to your shower head.

Lake Oroville reaches all-time low level; hydroelectric plant shuts down for first time ever
Lake Oroville, the head of the State Water Project, in 2022 after years of drought.

The people of California asked for this.  Somehow, the seed of Lefty aesthetics was planted deep under the popular cranium as far back as 1972 when Pop 20 was popularly approved to create the California Coastal Commission.  The original purpose was to protect the coast from overdevelopment.  It did, and is now busy dehydrating the 14 million people on the coastal plain.  Obviously, it’s a blueprint for the rest of the state: blame some bogeyman – climate change – as Newsom did in his screed, and don’t do anything but rail against the people and shove them into electric cars hooked up to a grid that they are making unstable.  Go figure.

In a certain sense, Californians, you are doing it to yourself.  Lunacy is popular in the state.

If you’re a fast-food worker and think that hiking the minimum wage to $15.50/hour is such a great idea, think again.  If you still have a job – a big “if” – you’ll notice fewer colleagues and more machines surrounding you.  The order to boost the minimum wage is in reality the depress-labor-participation-and-increase-automation act since fewer people can be afforded and machines pay dividends far into the future when compared to the alternative — you!

Job Killer: McDonald's Adding Automated Order Machines to All Restaurants - YouTube
An automated McDonalds in California

Owners of the outlets don’t fair any better.  The governor, super-majorities of both legislative houses, and the state’s gargantuan bureaucracies want to impose unionization on you.  Like doctors, get out!  Help Boise grow.

Hey, truckers and owners of trucking firms, the guy and his minions are after you.  Closed union shops will befall you the longer you stay.  Great weather can’t compensate for decreasing competitiveness.

The state desires not to be a haven for jobs and business.  Instead, it heartily seeks the moniker of sanctuary for abortionists and sexual mutilators of children.  So radical are they about abortion that escaping the womb while still breathing won’t save the baby.  The state considers the baby not be human, rather to be treated like the mother’s infected tonsils.  Unlike the mother’s tonsils, however, the baby has its own DNA profile independent of the mother.  It is not an organ of the mother, which is the first indication that the unborn young are to be treated differently than a hang nail.  Such is the Clockwork Orange nature of the state (read A Clockwork Orange by Anthony Burgess).

Unborn Baby Miraculously Survives Abortion Pill Taken By Mother - Opposing Views
An ultrasound of a baby who survived an abortion pill.

The grotesqueries don’t end there.  A child’s sexual organs are to be treated like pregnancy: an inconvenience to be surgically or pharmaceutically manipulated.  If your kid happens to find their way to transgenderism’s underground railroad to California without your knowledge, the State of California protects the mutilator and the child’s wishes to be mutilated unbeknownst to you. It’s truly appalling what the state has become.  It’s more than A Clockwork Orange.  It’s the Island of Doctor Moreau (H.G. Wells author).

A Clockwork Orange | Film Review | Slant Magazine
A scene from A Clockwork Orange, the movie.
The Island of Dr. Moreau: Evil in Adaptation #TBT
Scene from The Island of Doctor Moreau, the movie.

These are just some of the “successes” mentioned by the state’s gubernatorial Dr. Moreau.  The assault on business continues unabated.  The state’s malformations only get grander. To remain, at this point, comes close to quiet acquiescence.

I’m reminded of the silent German citizens who resided next to Bergen-Belsen, Auschwitz, or Buchenwald.  Said nothing, did nothing, until Patton arrived at Buchenwald in March of 1945.  Sickened and horrified, he ordered the surrounding residents out of their homes to view the horrors that were conducted in their name.  Californians, look around you at the actions that are being taken in your name.  Infanticidal abortion and child sexual mutilation are no small things.

German civilians parading past piles of the dead at Buchenwald in April 1945. Notice the woman shielding her eyes.

Many Californians regularly vote against this kind of thing.  They are to be applauded, but they need more people like them at a time when many of the people who do have fled. That means a change of heart among a good portion of the Lefty voter base.  And that is going to be hard, oh so very hard. Meanwhile, the state potentates will be applying lipstick on a pig.  Nay, lipstick on a wild boar.

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RogerG

Read more here:

* “Newsom’s Hollow Ring of Freedom”, Will Swaim, National Review Online, 1/15/23, at https://www.nationalreview.com/2023/01/newsoms-hollow-ring-of-freedom/
* “California regulator rejects desalination plant despite historic drought”, Daniel Trotta, Reuters, 5/13/22, at https://www.reuters.com/world/us/california-regulator-rejects-plan-desalination-plant-2022-05-13/
* “California’s Tyrannical Covid ‘Misinformation’ Law”, Pradheep J. Shanker, National Review Online, 10/6/22, at https://www.nationalreview.com/2022/10/californias-tyrannical-covid-misinformation-law/
* “Liberals Finally Admit That California Is Shrinking but Still Don’t Accept Blame”, Will Swaim, Nationa,l Review Online, 5/15/22, at https://www.nationalreview.com/2022/05/liberals-finally-admit-that-california-is-shrinking-but-still-dont-accept-blame/
* “The Buchenwald Concentration Camp: Patton’s Bastardly Discovery”, Flint Whitlock, Warfare History Network, Summer 2019, at https://warfarehistorynetwork.com/article/buchenwald-concentration-camp-general-pattons-bastardly-discovery/

The Economic Philosophy of Ghostbusters: A Wakeup Call for Pete Buttigieg

Overthinking Ghostbusters: Shot by Shot
Venkman (l) and Stantz after they were ejected from the university in “Ghostbusters”.

We should put a brake on our headlong rush to inflate our government.  Imagine, we have a sizeable chunk of our electorate who actually believe that government can, and ought to, achieve equality of result in all aspects of life.  California, have you looked at your roads, schools, crime-ridden communities, rampant vagrancy, and firestorms in your forests?

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Just one look at our Transportation Secretary, Pete Buttigieg, should dispel any illusion of something called “government efficiency”.  If there ever was an oxymoron, this is it.  Look at the months it took for the city-owned Port of Los Angeles to whittle down the 100-ship backlog anchored over the horizon?  Buttigieg passes the responsibility to the Labor Secretary to avert a rail strike stoppage to add to the misery at the ports.  Then, along comes a winter storm and my grandson, like thousands of others across the country, faced massive cancellations, and stranded a thousand miles from home.  Can this guy think out of the box, or is he simply a blockhead, one with pedigreed credentials?

US airline services temporarily disrupted, several…

Could Buttigieg survive in the real private sector?  Ray Stantz (Dan Aykroyd) faces the fear of having to earn of living outside the protective academic cocoon, and this after the three paranormal “scientists” were thrown out on their ear by the university administration.  Stantz to Venkman: “You’ve never been out of college! You don’t know what it’s like out there! I’ve worked in the private sector. They expect results.”  Maybe our Secretary’s vision would be broadened by a job repairing train tracks once the rest of us are relieved of him.

Progressives Accuse Pete Buttigieg Of Racism For Using The Word 'Heartland' In A Tweet
Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg

Really, what did you expect?  Mayor Pete’s overwhelming life experience was at a desk.  From a bluestocking extended stay at elite schools to McKinsey to small-city mayor to ensign in the Navy to politics, the guy was far removed from the practical day-to-day consequences of his work.  I can picture him in the emotional state of Dr. Stantz in 2024.  Take a look.

RogerG

The Political Philosophy of Ghostbusters

Ghostbusters: Original Cast's Net Worth, Ranked | TheRichest
(L to R) Main characters Stantz, Venkman, and Zeddemore in “Ghostbusters”.

Of course, I’m thinking of “Ghostbusters”, the movie.  The story follows a group of academics in a semi-academic field – the paranormal – who don’t, and won’t, conform to the demands of the campus powers-that-be.  They bust out on their own, form a business, and run into the widening tentacles of the eco-regulators in the person of Walter Peck, inspector of the EPA, third district of New York City.  Please watch below.

Making the tale more relevant, Biden’s EPA is a clone of California and New York’s entangling web of eco-regulators.  So filled with arrogance and hubris, they are busy jettisoning their middle class and a good portion of their economies to other states, just like Peter Venkman and company fled the campus and opened shop in the commercial district of 1980’s NYC.  The script’s parallels with our times are nothing short of fascinating.

Back to the real, Mark Wahlberg has put his Los Angeles 12-bedroom, 20-bath mansion on the market and is decamping for Nevada.  The reason is the same as the one for 300,000 other people who have bolted the state over the past couple of years.  He’s an entrepreneur and family man and finds Nevada a better place for his economic health as Ghostbusters’ Venkman, Stantz, and Spengler would discover in fleeing the college.

Mark Wahlberg, here in April, opened up about a recent move he made with his family.
Mark Wahlberg in April 2022

About the only occupational category whose growth prospects look sunny in California, for instance, is government regulator/inspector.  The equation is simple: more laws, more regulations, more state government employees.  Each year, the buffoons in the asylum formerly known as the state legislature add to the number of Pecks.  One law taking affect this year would require more inspectors of private insurance to enforce a ban on co-pays for abortions.  The state’s minimum wage is on legal auto-pilot and is scheduled to jump to $15.50/hour which means more investigators.  A new law, effective Jan. 1, 2023, would add to the government workforce to compel compliance with the state’s newfound role of sanctuary for the mutilators of children in transgender medical procedures.  New state land use laws will layer more complexity, and regulators, on an already suffocating building industry.  In total, Newsom signed 997 new laws, most to take effect on Jan. 1 of this year.

California New Laws | State | wvgazettemail.com
California Gov. Gavin Newsom displays a state bill signed by him shielding abortion providers and volunteers, June 24, 2022.

Thus, California has turned itself into a sanctuary for immigration lawbreakers, child sexual mutilators, and the country’s budding Walter Pecks.

Kathy Hochul’s State of New York is California, Jr.  How appropriate that the setting for “Ghostbusters” is New York City.  It may as well be Los Angeles or the San Francisco-Oakland Bay Area.  These blue havens are awash in Peck-like busybodies.  No wonder Texas and Florida added congressmen and the Bear Flag Republic and the Empire State lost some.  Expect it to continue.

The Movie Rewatch of Great Nostalgia: Ghostbusters and Ghostbusters II | Tor.com
Walter Peck, the EPA guy, in “Ghostbusters”

RogerG

Read more here:
* Mark Wahlberg’s departure from California to Nevada: “Mark Wahlberg left California for Nevada to give his kids ‘a better life’”, Marianne Garvey, CNN, 10/13/22, at https://www.cnn.com/2022/10/13/entertainment/mark-wahlberg-california-nevada-move/index.html
* “New California Laws on Abortion, Jaywalking, Rap Lyrics”, AP, USN&WP, 12/30/22, at https://www.usnews.com/news/best-states/california/articles/2022-12-30/new-california-laws-on-abortion-jaywalking-rap-lyrics

60 Minutes Is the Real Jurassic Park

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'60 Minutes' Exhumes Enviro Cult Leader for a New Round of ...
Paul Ehrlich on 60 Minutes

The late great Michael Crichton placed Jurassic Park on a tropical island, but CBS programming execs showed signs that they seized the thing and replanted it in 60 Minutes.  As proof, the show welcomed the new year with the fossil discovery of . . . Paul Ehrlich.  Yep, the Stanford prof and dinosaur is still alive and vigorous at age 90, alive enough to push his signature doomsaying, and 60 Minutes obliged by trotting him out (see below).

What’s with Stanford University?  They seem to be a hotbed for the kind of kooks who are frocked in PhD’s and flock to the limelight like a moth to a porch light.  It’s a tradition at Stanford.  Remember William Shockley, the engineer and Nobel Prize-winning co-inventor of the transistor and inveterate purveyor of racialist mumbo jumbo?  Well, move over Shockley to make room for Ehrlich and colleagues like Tony Barnosky.  Science is their vocation and doom is their game.  Chicken Little has nothing on these folks.

But they’re scientists, right?  They ought to know, right?  Yes, they ought to, but don’t.  They represent a peculiar species of scientist who pushes science beyond its capacities and right into divination.  They take a slice of present data, conjure a trend, and then laser-like project it into the future.  No understanding of history; no understanding of mitigating circumstances.  Based on the results, their soothsaying is no more accurate, maybe less so, than bibliomancy – the practice of closing one’s eyes, randomly opening a book to a page, and pointing the index finger to a line of verse to extract the future.

Bibliomancy has the Answer – Dayology.com

In the past, Ehrlich predicted an earth suffocating under the weight of 4 billion souls (earth’s population in the 1960’s), mass starvation, resource exhaustion, and ecological collapse.  Now, the siren song is mass species extinction under 8 billion souls.  His misses are many and include the famous 1980 lost bet with U. of Maryland economist Julian Simon.  Ehrlich chose five industrial metals and bet that their price would be higher in ten years, expecting the subsequent shortages would lead to price increases.  He lost.  You see, Ehrlich probably wouldn’t make for a good economist.  Ehrlich is blind to financier Henry Clews’s insight in 1918 when Clews wrote “the best cure for high prices is high prices”: prices go up, efficiencies increase, new sources discovered, and prices drop.  For Ehrlich, mitigations be damned, adjustments be damned, and full speed to the apocalypse.

Julian Simon on Optimism and Progress | National Review
Economist Julian Simon

Human capital doesn’t exist in Ehrlich’s mind.  We’re only animals eating up everything that we can get our hands on.  Yet, human beings change their circumstances with innovations.  As a consequence, more food is produced with greater efficiency, wealth increases, fertility declines, urbanization intensifies, and pressure on the wildlands decreases.  So much for the alleged cataclysm of mass extinction.  People like Ehrlich are chronically wrong.

Interestingly, the same 60 Minutes chart of past mass extinctions also shows a recovery afterwards. And the recovery was hundreds of thousands of years before Lenin’s invention of central planning.  No need for technocrats like Ehrlich and Barnosky to herd the masses back into the Middle Ages to avoid these shamans’ predictions of doom.

MY HAIR IS ON FIRE!! - YouTube

Ehrlich and his sidekick Barnosky are programmed to fail in their prognostications.  The problem is entrenched is their reliance on a loose extrapolation from a large area to a smaller one (see below).  The data can also be fraught with hypotheticals in interpretation.  Out of the conjury comes hair-on-fire Armageddons that turn out to be wrong.  We are constantly afflicted with it in everything from plastics to the end of the world in climate change.  We are kept on the edge of our seats in a pass-the-baton series of dooms.

60 Minutes’s resurrection of the fossil Ehrlich proves that hysteria is a natural feature of the human condition, and the barkers will always have a place at the table.  Ironically, progressives pride themselves in their alleged immunity to it and see themselves at war with it, while they are preoccupied with it.  They are the chief purveyors.  Self-delusion has no bounds.

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RogerG

Read more here:
* “60 Minutes Promotes Paul Ehrlich’s Failed Doomsaying One More Time”, Ronald Bailey, Reason, 1/3/23, at https://reason.com/2023/01/03/60-minutes-promotes-paul-ehrlichs-failed-doomsaying-one-more-time/
* “Paul Ehrlich: Wrong on 60 Minutes and for Almost 60 Years”, Peter Jacobsen, Foundation for Economic Education, 1/4/23, at https://fee.org/articles/paul-ehrlich-wrong-on-60-minutes-and-for-almost-60-years/
* The reason for the error in Ehrlich and Barnosky’s predictions can be understood by reading “Species–area relationships always overestimate extinction rates from habitat loss”, Fangliang He and Stephen P. Hubbell, Nature, 5/18/2011, at https://www.nature.com/articles/nature09985

Stakeholders Can Ruin Your Life

COVID-19 canceled mass protests. Here’s what youth climate activists are doing instead. | Grist
Climate activists, and so-called “stakeholders”, 2019

Stakeholder: noun; a person with an interest or concern in something, especially a business. (Google)

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Cut to the chase, a “stakeholder” is someone with no direct invested risk (land, labor, capital) in an enterprise who wants the power to impose their political opinions on those that do.  Stakeholder is a euphemism for those who want to screw up your investment for their benefit, however defined.  “Stakeholder” is a buzzword, for instance, that strives to create the stampede to end the internal combustion engine (ICE) and push everyone into electric vehicles (ev’s).

I can’t, and we oughtn’t, leave this phenomenon of the ev alone.

As a 30-year veteran of the public schools, I’m well aware of “stakeholders”.  Instead of the simple equation of producers (teachers, principals) and consumers (students, parents), we’ve got “stakeholders” to give us diversity/equity/inclusion (DEI), the principal tenets of critical race theory (CRT), “restorative justice” for classroom disruptors, gender-identity grooming, and the rest of the neo-socialistic chaos of the modern classroom.  Student performance in the academic core craters but all of that is brushed aside by the education industry’s “stakeholders”.  And you and your kids are the guinea pigs, not the principal “stakeholders” of the whole enterprise.  For most of the “stakeholders” and their kids, elite prep schools await.

Now the jive is overtaking the relationship between car buyer and car producer.  It works like this: create a mania (the role of “stakeholders”), politicize the mania (the role of “stakeholders”), the subsequent politicization transmutes into government mandates (jobs for “stakeholders”), and the rest of us get to live a life imposed by those far removed by from our needs and wants.  This isn’t a free economy at work; it’s politics.  “Stakeholders” are political activists!

And as is true with all ideological ninnies who want power to tell us how to live, we end up grappling with their crackpot choices. Classic example: the ev.  And you know what?  A “silent majority” in the auto industry c-suite in their quieter moments recognize the shambolic nature of the scam.  Others in the know are beginning to write about it.  The Wall Street Journal and National Review’s Andrew Stuttaford, among others, are part of a growing chorus writing about this shortsighted stampede to the ev.

Take the recent comments by the CEOs of Suzuki (Maruti Suzuki India, Ltd), Toyota, Nissan, and Stellantis (Fiat Chrysler/Peugeot) who have expressed misgivings.  In the drumbeat of NFL game ads and the enthusiasm blanketing the whole gamut of media, you’d never know of their anxiety.  Producers can’t completely ignore the manufactured mania, but amidst the monotonous din some drum up the courage to say the obvious: the “stakeholders” are looney.

It’s like the manufacturers being caught on an open mic.  President Akio Toyoda of Toyota Motor Corp. was reported in The Wall Street Journal as being “among the auto industry’s silent majority in questioning whether electric vehicles should be pursued exclusively, comments that reflect a growing uneasiness about how quickly car companies can transition.” Oh, they can abruptly transition, but how much carnage would follow in its wake?  Interesting question.

Akio Toyoda, CEO of Toyota Motor Corp.

In January 2022, the CEO of Stellantis was quoted as saying, “What is clear is that electrification [of cars] is a technology chosen by politicians [and their stakeholders], not by industry . . .”  Further, according to him, it takes about 44,000 miles to begin to experience the carbon benefit of an ev over your ICE.  By that time, your ev is half worn out.  Then, what do you do with the toxic thing with its toxic batteries?  Recycle?  Hogwash.  You can’t cost-effectively refurbish the things in the quantities that they will have to be produced.  And you thought that your fossil-fuel contraption was an eco-disaster.

The 2022 Power List 100; Carlos Tavares at the top | Autocar
Carlos Tavares, CEO of Stellantis

Chairman R.C. Bhargava of Maruti Suzuki India Lt. was encapsulated in a Bloomberg report, “. . . the automaker that sells every other car on the nation’s roads [India], believes electric vehicles aren’t the answer to reducing carbon emissions in the world’s third-biggest releaser of greenhouse gases — at least not in the immediate future.”  Yep, because millions of Indians in ev’s requires a steady flood of electricity from – you guessed it – coal and natural gas.  See, the stakeholders’ central planners are all about the glitz in the flashy tv ads, like the stakeholders themselves, and are not into the grimy details.  Don’t expect practical advice from political activists posing as “stakeholders”.  They’ll get you into trouble.

Making radical changes in the way we work due to pandemic, says RC Bhargava | Business News,The ...
Chairman R.C. Bhargava of Maruti Suzuki India Lt.

Nissan Chief Executive Uchida Makoto predicates more ev production on government help in the form of regulations to herd consumers into his products and cash payouts from taxpayers to his company’s pocket to make the things.  It’s the same attitude that turned Detroit’s Big Three into basket cases in the 1970’s and required TARP in 2008.  After WWII, Europe and Japan were wrecked and Detroit was riding high.  Then, our competitors’ stone age ended in the 1960s and 70s and Detroit and its featherbedding unions turned to Uncle Sam for protection.  Ironically, another European import, the Fascists’ idea of corporatism (the tripartite alliance of big corporations, big government, and big labor), entered the go-to manual for American policy makers and their “stakeholders”.  It was already resplendent in FDR’s New Deal as a policy maker’s template.

Uchida: Nissan's return to growth requires patience - Today News Post
Uchida Makoto, CEO of Nissan Motor Co.

American automakers are well-versed in taking hat in hand to Washington, D.C.  Uchida likes the idea, and so does GM.  GM pledges to go all electric by 2035.  Of course, when things get sticky, they’ll expect Uncle Sam to continue to manufacture the market for them.  In the throes of eco-stakeholders, DC will comply.  In other words, we’re back to where we were with TARP . . . and a bunch of impractical four-wheelers crowding our driveways

We’ll then experience déjà vu for that fuel-injected ICE under a dusty cover in the garage.  Remember the time when a fill-up took a couple of minutes, and the a/c didn’t cause a frantic search for an open charger in the 110-degree Texas/Mojave heat?

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Mountain View, Ca., Teslas waiting in line for a charge.

You see, the electric vehicle has nothing to do with the creative freedom of entrepreneurs and voluntary interaction of free consumers and producers, the stuff of an economy in a free society.  It’s a central planner’s dream.  A central planner is a government employee.  “Stakeholders” use political clout to make government empower central planners to make you live according to their lights.  Out of the mire comes the ev and your struggles to get the kids to school, show up on time at work, and visit grandma for Thanksgiving.  Of course, the “stakeholder” says that you don’t have to do any of that.  The whole crusade is soft totalitarianism, soft because of the absence of a massive extra-legal secret police, but then again there’s the unceasing state indoctrination in teacher training and control of the curriculum in nearly every classroom K to grad school.  It sounds to me like a totalitarian perpetual motion machine self-generating the support for power to the state’s “stakeholders”.

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Interestingly, the problem is not with the electric vehicle itself. It’s the forcing of the things on the entire public.  A golf cart made to look like your car is your future, whether you like it or not.  The concerns of the auto industry’s execs stem from the exclusive focus on the ev.  Hybrids, alternative fuels (biomass, compressed hydrogen, etc.), our trusty reduced-emissions ICE, and many others should also be part of the mix in a truly free society, one without the so-called “stakeholders” running the show.  Yeah, it used to be called a free market.

The “stakeholders” aren’t into freedom, or a market with “free” – the autonomous soul – in front of it.  They’re into making you think like them.  Your life is to be rigged by them to be loyal clients of big-corp whose production decisions have been constricted by big-government under the influence of big-activists, aka “stakeholders”.  Once government has a “stake” in electric vehicles, it’s going to make you buy them.  Count on your state to resemble the hellscape of California.

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RogerG

Read more here:

* “Toyota Chief Says ‘Silent Majority’ Has Doubts About Pursuing Only EVs”, River Davis and Sean McLain, The Wall Street Journal, Dec. 18, 2022, at https://www.wsj.com/articles/toyota-president-says-silent-majority-has-doubts-about-pursuing-only-evs-11671372223

* “Electric Vehicles: Mr. Toyoda is Worried”, Andrew Stuttaford, National Review Online, Jan. 1, 2023, at https://www.nationalreview.com/2023/01/electric-vehicles-mr-toyoda-is-worried/

* “India’s Top Carmaker Bets on Hybrids Over EVs in Clean Shift”, Ragini Saxena, Bloomberg, Jan. 26, 2022, at https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-06-26/india-s-top-carmaker-bets-on-hybrids-over-evs-in-clean-shift?cmpid=BBD062722_GREENDAILY&utm_medium=email&utm_source=newsletter&utm_term=220627&utm_campaign=greendaily&sref=KgEBWdKh&leadSource=uverify%20wall

A Product Born of a Secular Great Awakening

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* The History Channel’s “The Cars That Built the World” prompted the following reaction.

May be an image of car and text that says 'HISTORY CHANNEL DOGUMENTARY SERIES THE CARS THAT BUILT THE WORLD MAY 23 MAY23|9/8c 9/8c Η HISTORY'

History shows that we go through periods of frenzy. Nearly everything gets sucked into a time’s all-encompassing and obsessive manias. We’re in one of those crazy times. You can’t escape the time’s convictions. The idea(s) permeates every nook and cranny of modern culture. There can be more than one overriding and widespread infatuation, but “climate change” seems to rise heads and shoulders above most others. It’s an ideology and is only science insofar as science can be recruited to lend it some credence and therefore an aura of irrefutability. Thus, a seemingly objective excuse is presented for intolerance of countervailing views and force-feeding the people into the narrow confines of its beliefs.

It’s an ideological enterprise with overtones of authoritarianism, even straying into totalitarianism. The difference between the two is summarized by the fact that authoritarians don’t really care how you think and live so long as you don’t threaten their power. Totalitarians seek to control everything about you. The “total” thing enshrines a surveillance state to manage your life in the most intimate details.

Can democracies be totalitarian? Impossible, you say? We are in the midst of an experiment to prove them compatible. Totalitarianism enters through the door of the mass acceptance of an ideology that has many of the characteristics of a religion – with or without God of course. Most often, if God is mentioned as part of the equation, He is the caboose trailing the train of thought. As a quasi-faith, environmentalism has its dogmas, such as “climate change” and an assortment of sacraments like “net zero” in carbon. One manifestation of “net zero” is the full-frontal assault on the internal combustion engine and the drive to get everyone into electric vehicles (ev’s).

The infatuation with the ev is a product of our time’s Secular Great Awakening: the vast upsurge in ethusiasm for Environmentalism. Environmentalism entails a severe preservationism that implants a loathing to alter the natural world for man’s benefit. It’s a prejudice against convenience for humankind. The ev is one allowance approved by the faith’s ecclesiastical leadership because it is said to address the cardinal sin of climate change, similar to the purchase of an indulgence.

Au contraire to The History Channel, the electrical vehicle has a distinct developmental history as compared to the rise of the SUV. The modern all-electric auto is not the outcome of the earlier scattered, hit-and-miss process of freedom-loving actors that led to the conventional automobile. The ev was essentially commanded into existence by the faith’s politically powerful adherents. In that sense, the ev mandates have much more in common with Stalin’s Five-Year Plans rather than anything recognizable in Adam Smith’s free market.

The track record of command-economy technologies isn’t impressive. Mao thought that he could jump-start Chinese industrialization (The Great Leap Forward) by turning the country’s peasants into steel producers with smelters in village backyards. It all was a bunch of hooey and culminated in the worst famine in history.

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Chinese people working in a commune during the Great Leap Forward

Then along came the Soviet MIG-25 “Foxbat” fighter. A Soviet pilot defected one to an American airbase in Japan in 1976, and, low and behold, its materials and avionics were outdated. Like most everything coming out of the Soviet Union’s command economy, it was as flawed as the fake tractor that first rolled out of one of Stalin’s first new tractor factories in the 1930’s. Politicians, ignorant of production processes and engineering, are agog over flashy, showy things. The impracticality of their hairbrained ideas is unknown to them, and irrelevant to them anyway. In today’s political eco-system, environmentalism’s dogmas are assumed to be true and therefore windmills, solar panels, and ev’s are commanded to be the only true path to the Promised Land.

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Soviet MIG-25 fighter that was flown by Soviet pilot Victor Belenko to Japan on Sept. 6, 1976

These thoughts were lurking in the background as I watched the four episodes of The History Channel’s “The Cars That Built the World”. I kept expecting the ubiquitous reference to the threat of man-caused apocalyptic climate change to rear its ugly head in the program’s rendition from the development of the internal combustion engine to Toyota, like so much of today’s litany of programming. It’s usually lurking in there somewhere. It finally did at the end of the last installment by associating the development of the electric vehicle to the creative energies of the bygone era.

The parallel is misleading to say the least. The ev is the dream product of today’s ideologically driven central planners. The thing’s glaring deficiencies are overlooked in the headlong rush to get people into them. True, advances in the ev have been made but not enough to overcome its inherent shortcomings and justify a junking of nation’s entire car fleet in a few decades. This can only happen when powerful political actors stray outside their limited lane of competence to force us into their preferred choice.

By contrast, no one was forced out of their horse-and-buggy at the dawn of the twentieth century in order to go further, faster, more cheaply and reliably than ever before. But our choice today isn’t between facing the back end of a horse and Henry Ford’s Model T. It’s a choice between a cleaner and fuel-efficient multi-cylinder and something that can’t be charged quickly, drains quickly the moment you turn on life support (heating, a/c), and is tied to a grid that ev-enthusiasts have made astonishingly unreliable. The trajectory of the internal combustion engine is toward lower emissions and greater fuel-efficiency. Ev’s have an improvement ascent as well, but where’s the cost-benefit for the centrally planned disruption that will inevitably ensue?

Answer: There isn’t one. Cost/benefit commonly stems from a calculation of the opportunity costs and tradeoffs of competing options. What opportunity costs and tradeoffs are entailed in the massive shift to ev’s by government command? What are we giving up by doing so? Therein lies the limiting principle for these politically driven economic schemes. It’s not that the product doesn’t look and sound great – you know, the all-agog reaction of our elected nincompoops. It’s what we are forgoing as we turn a good portion of our lives upside down. The amount that we spend or give up on this choice isn’t available for other things.

The result isn’t a seamless transition but a chaotic, disruptive mess. It won’t be anything like the shift from analog to digital recordings (cd’s, etc.). Digital’s advantages were immediately apparent. Leaving aside its recording superiority, its portability and ease of transition across multiple platforms using its storage advantages, flash drives, WIFI, streaming, cellphones, and assorted peripherals, it turned music into an easy-to-access commodity. Music was democratized every bit as much as personal transportation was by Henry Ford’s Model-T. Can we expect the same glorious outcome when we are forced to scrap our $30,000 sedan in exchange for a thing that will introduce us to serious “range anxiety”. It’s a step down, but for what?

We will be expected to accept the devolution because of the faith’s catechism in the original sin of climate change. So, we must forego something that has only gotten cleaner and more efficient in return for something with inherent difficulties in recharging, long recharge times (1 hour to 2 days) producing long wait times, a range dependent on ambient temperatures and use of basic accessories (such as a/c), and a dependence on a fitful grid.

To iron out the some of the most glaring deficiencies, batteries, batteries everywhere will be necessary for the zillions of ev’s and to level out electricity generation from an uncooperative nature with her flippant spasms of wind and her half-day time off when the sun is on the other side of the planet. More open-pit mining and disposal facilities for all those environmentally unfriendly batteries will be imperative. And, by all means, if you happen to live in a flood-prone area, park your drenched ev blocks away from anything of value. They spontaneously combust like Spinal Tap’s drummers.

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Luxury electric vehicles bursting into flames after being damaged by floodwaters and car batteries catching on fire have prompted a new warning from the state after Hurricane Ian. (ABC News)

The electric vehicle – like the secular catechism’s other components such as wind, solar, locking up the forests, and the assault on suburbia – is a product of an ideology that functions as quasi-religion. Though, an ideology is different from a religion. While exhibiting many of the characteristics of one, ideology possesses one fundamental difference: a religion doesn’t generally concern itself with your choice of car, but an ideology can. A religion is primarily limited to the condition of your soul. An ideology can march you off to the death pits or simply shame you into fealty to the ordained lifestyle. Puritanism never really faded. Our modern version just stripped away the God-garb and donned the raiment of the prig. Only this time, the self-righteous are commissars.

Progressives pride themselves in being in the vanguard of history’s arc of betterment, thus Obama’s “wrong side of history” claptrap. But history has no arc. While one technological advance can lead to others, amidst the science and gadgets, we are the same hoard of clashing ambitions, prejudices, and interests. We can still spend ourselves into oblivion and turn the knowledge to malevolence such as robust ways to kill babies, surveille the population, force everyone into lockdowns, and believe in the unbelievable. So, history isn’t an ascending glide path but the teeth of a saw blade. The quality of life bounces up and down. It can register a descent if the balance of nonsense overwhelms the sense.

The electric vehicle as a substitute for your regular family sedan makes no sense. One sure way to institute a new dark age is to force people into making their lives more difficult. The ev aligns more appropriately with the rule of Xi Jinping. Welcome to the reign of today’s eco-Puritanism.

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RogerG

The Youth Are the Problem. They’re Moonbat Crazy.

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Okay, I’ll come out and say it: The young are moonbat crazy.  Not all, but stunningly large numbers are. “Moonbat”, what’s that?  Crazy is the easy part.  The word “moonbat” in this context has been attributed to conservative commentator Howie Carr in referring to California governor Jerry Brown, Jr., who was caricatured in an online poster, “Before Moonbats, there was Jerry ‘Moonbeam’ Brown”.

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It appears to be getting worse – the moonbat craziness, that is.

I know about youthful kookiness because “Been there, done that”, as any child of the 60’s should know.  “Drugs, sex, and rock ‘n roll” isn’t exactly a clarion call for mature judgment.  The nutty stuff is rooted in the young’s unappreciation for the arduous path that was trod by others to get to the present.  It stems from the young’s newness to the world.  All they really know is what’s around them.

They can be taught history, but they have no experience with prior struggles, and telling and showing them won’t be enough, even if someone lectured them.  My WWII-generation parents experienced life before air conditioning, and when capable of acquiring it, they did in a heartbeat.  Today, large percentages of the young, pampered by modern conveniences, prefer to end a/c in a holy war to defeat climate change.  Yet, they wouldn’t last long without it, along with their trendy ev’s and obsession with connectivity.  There’s only so much room on the coastal plain to accommodate the added millions fleeing the oppressive heat everywhere else.  And the attendant blackouts and spiking utility bills won’t be good for streaming and the apps on their cellphones that direct them to the nearest Starbucks and car charger that won’t charge, the cell towers and relay centers absent the juice to run.

The moonbat in our young came out in all its glory in the last few elections.  No, this conclusion isn’t ageist prejudice.  Once again, “Been there, done that.” Epidemics of STD’s and drug abuse, riots, and mass displays of self-righteous posturing were as characteristic of my youth as flower power.  The peace movement’s catastrophic demand to withdraw from South Vietnam led to the fall of Southeast Asia and millions exterminated and millions more shoved into tortuous reeducation camps.  Not quite a Dark Age – for us, that is, a Dark Age for SE Asia – but certainly the quality-of-life lights were dimmed.

Well, the young are at it again.  Kristen Soltis Anderson, pollster and partner of Echelon Insights, unknowingly lays out the evidence for moonbat craziness in the under-40’s.  Large portions of youthful voters are committed to social and economic suicide.  On the social side, they aren’t marrying and having kids at levels of previous generations, support sexual unions that can’t produce them, and want to treat pregnancy as a disease.  I guess to make it all go down easier, they favor legal and social approval of THC intoxication in today’s highly potent, selectively cultivated pot (5 to 6 times more lusty than the kind passed around in the smoking circles of my youth).

The economic side of the self-abasement is a toxic embrace of socialism and eco-madness.  Unknowingly for them, the socialist paradise of North Korea didn’t invent the microchip.  No socialist Shangri-la had a hand in that.  It’s a product of free-enterprise entrepreneurialism, capitalism.  You know, private property and profits, all that “evil” stuff.  Socialism is an assault on private property, profits, and the rich who got rich because they brought all that stuff to the Antifa zealots so they could virally coordinate to close down Portland.

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The eco-madness is their poorly thought out but loudly espoused mitigations of “climate change”.  Well, prove it.  Prove that “climate change” is a man-caused apocalypse. Prove that your chic measures – ev’s, a grid reliant on windmills and solar panels, and chicken-coop housing in today’s urban hellscapes – will make more than a dimple of improvement on the hypothetical crisis.  Convince me that it won’t lead to central planning, the ideological cousin of totalitarianism.  Convince me that it won’t lead to the iron fist of totalitarianism to socially engineer the Sierra Club’s ideal person.  History shows a link between moonbat utopianism in power and thuggery.  What makes the young so confident in thinking that the historically evident travel from an imposed fantasy to full-throated coercion can be successfully suspended?  History isn’t encouraging.

Here’s Soltis’s scoop on the political status of the young: they are strong Democrats, stronger than earlier renditions of youthfulness.  The upper end of millennials has reached 40 and they punched the Democrat ticket by nine points in 2022.  The bulk of them, though, are in their 30’s, and combined with the twenty-somethings, they favored the Democrats by 28 points!  The Republicans are in a world of hurt with them.  It’s been particularly true in the last three election cycles.

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Long lines of students waiting to vote at a Michigan college.

What animates these young folks to ignore the urban filth and crime, inflation, a looming recession, the wildlands as open-air combustion chambers, the blackouts, the crippling national debt, the invasion of boys into girls’ sports and bathrooms, and schools that function more as lefty finishing schools than places of learning?  The affection for the donkey party can’t solely be laid at the feet of Trump.  The young obviously care more about other things. Among those under 30, 53% want abortion to be legal “under any circumstance”.  That could unthinkingly include late term/partial birth abortions, ending the life of babies who survive the procedure, sex-selection abortions, and excusing those mothers who see a baby as an obstacle in the climb up the greasy corporate pole.

“Under any circumstance” is an awfully grizzly affair.  Many of the young seem to be fully onboard with the “right” to abortion translating into the “right” of the mother and doctor to be executioners.  Or do they?  “Under any circumstance” precludes any consideration of viability.  Pardon me, but I can’t accept the claim that 53% of the young are so inhuman.  For many in the polling, I speculate, the response was a visceral reaction to Dobbs, which was caricatured by a similarly ill-informed press as a ban on abortion.  But explaining the decision as a return to federalism would require an understanding of federalism.  The trillions of dollars spent on the schools has yet to succeed at reading, writing, and math (NAEP scores).  What makes you think that they will be any better at conveying the meaning of federalism?

Trillions more and dismal results (NAEP scores).  Dismal results and political illiteracy.  Political illiteracy and hitching a ride on the Democrats’ train of affection for government as super daddy.

Economic illiteracy too.  Young people support labor unions because they supposedly have a “positive impact on the country”, more so than the church and the military.  As long as we keep the discussion out of reality, America’s adversarial unions are seen in poorly developed young minds as fighting the battle against the exploitation of innocent workers by robber barons.  But it isn’t that simple.  A strong historical case can be made that industrial labor unions killed Detroit and sent American steel into a tailspin.  Unionization was contorted into corporate and job euthanasia.  Their extravagant demands, wrapped in a promiscuous right to strike and lavish collective bargaining agreements, paved the way for the rise of Toyota and the other Asian and European automakers.  The industrial heartland became deindustrialized to a great extent by their workers.

Abandoned office/industrial building in Detroit.

The Rust Belt became as rusty as its unions.  Who wants to invest in a dive into the jaws of our labor unions, so long as we still have the freedom to decide where to put our money?  Better to avoid the Upper Midwest Rust Belt and go to friendlier places, like the American South, who are without laws that grant power to unions to force everyone into their clutches.  “Right to work” laws in the South weren’t a ban on labor unions, but merely made them voluntary.  Such nuances aren’t the stuff of K-to-grad school curriculums.  We’ve trained a generation in AFL-CIO urban myths.

It doesn’t end there.  More immediately, our young folks seem to be okay with not getting the latest edition of the I-phone, or even underwear. Those container ships anchored over the horizon at San Pedro were a gift of the Pacific Maritime Association (an affiliate of the International Longshore and Warehouse Union) representing dock workers.  As of October 2022, 77 ships remain anchored outside the port.  Our supply chain is dependent on the featherbedding of $171,000/year dock workers (2019 numbers).  Monopolies of labor have the funny tendency of behaving like any other monopoly.

Even “the most pro-union president” (Biden) is feeling the heat of another possible disruption from a rail strike.  Once the containers get off the ship, the most congested docks face the most congested railyard in the country.  Its expansion faces the usual suspects: organized eco-zealots and California’s exhaustive eco-regulations.  The state’s EIR’s (environmental impact reports), to go along with the fed’s EIS’s (environmental impact statements), to go along with multiple layers of bureaucratic meddling, prompted endless delays and lawsuits.  We may get the expansion, but not without a taxpayer breaking and company busting and bloated price tag, not an unusual experience in the Democrats’ Mecca and Medina of California.  Remember the state’s high-speed rail monolith to nowhere?

Not canceled! High-speed rail is, in fact, already under construction in Fresno, California.
Unfinished California high-speed elevated rail line outside Fresno, Ca.

Such episodes don’t register with the young.  I think that too many of the young are into the excitement and drama normally found in their personal diversions and aren’t attracted to the boring and tedious work of reading and contemplation.  They won’t read a magazine of substance but will glance at Twitter burps and anything on their Instagram feed.

Why bother to vote If that is the case?  Has anyone ever pondered the possibility that voting could be an immoral act?  Think about it.  An uninformed vote is the equal of an informed one, a frivolous one equal to a serious one.  As in a fraudulent vote, one cancels the other.  If you don’t know, don’t care, and won’t inform yourself, don’t you have a moral responsibility to stay away from the ballot . . . and power tools?  Such an ethic of responsibility cannot be encapsulated in a law, but it should be implanted in our minds – to go along with honesty, charity, and love – from a young age.  Before you do something, do it responsibly.

Today’s young are less inclined to be responsible because some parents and most of our schools have failed to prepare them to face the issues of their time.  Take marriage as an example, same-zex marriage in particular. The young favor it by upwards to three-quarters in recent polling.

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But is same-sex marriage an oxymoron?  Has the thought ever graced their mind?  Same-sex marriage might be sensible if marriage is construed as nothing but assuaging the interests of adults.  In history, however, marriage has always been tied to civilization’s stake in procreation.  For that to happen, heterosexual behavior is required.  Not every married couple of a heterosexual complexion can or chooses to have children.  That’s not the point.  The long nurturing process of our young requires the tight bond of the people who brought them into being.  The state and its disconnected operatives are no stand-in.

That tight bond is marriage, and it should be reserved for heterosexual pairings.  Whether they have children or not is a personal matter.  Other conceptions (civil unions, etc.) with many of the privileges and protections of marriage can be made available for same-sex couples.  But heterosexuality is a privileged coupling because without it, there is no next generation.  A society of the incontinent and gray-haired, because we have elevated everything else but childbearing and childrearing, doesn’t bode well for survival.  Heterosexuality must be privileged.  Marriage is the way, born of necessity, to do it.

The reservation of marriage for complimentary sexual pairings isn’t a prudish ban on “loving who you want”.  That’s pure sophistry.  Marriage is society’s minimal requirement for there to be a next generation.

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Has this argument ever been presented to the three-quarters who think that same-sex marriage is a great idea?  The overwhelming numbers in support of something is not proof of the thing’s validity.  More accurately, it’s evidence of a lack of exposure to the history of our institutions, and to a real debate.  Like much else involving the young, they don’t know any better and nobody told them.

It comes back to maturity.  One element of maturity is tied up in the economic concept of tradeoffs: you can’t have it all.  No one can.  We give up one thing to obtain another. So, for our fulminating statue-topplers and Antifa zealots, and our twenty-somethings whose education didn’t educate, you can’t simultaneously have your socialism and 5G and the next generation of connectivity.  That stuff is born of freedom, the freedom to live a life, to think anew, to acquire, without undermining the prerequisites for their being generations to come.  It’s not the freedom of bureaucrats to meddle.

The young are just moonbat crazy.  Is this what degringolade (downfall) looks like?

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RogerG

Read here for more:

* “Republicans’ Lost Youth”, Kristen Soltis Anderson, National Review, Dec. 1, 2022, at https://www.nationalreview.com/magazine/2022/12/19/republicans-lost-youth/

* “NAEP national test scores fall to lowest levels in decades!”, Anthony Picciano of CUNY, Sept, 2, 2022, at https://apicciano.commons.gc.cuny.edu/2022/09/02/naep-national-test-scores-fall-to-lowest-levels-in-decades/#:~:text=Driving%20the%20news%3A%20The%20results%20on%20the%20NAEP%2C,in%20learning%20outcomes%20were%20starkest%20among%20lower-performing%20students.

* “77 box vessels waiting outside San Pedro Bay ports”, World Cargo News, Oct. 25, 2022, at https://www.worldcargonews.com/news/news/77-box-vessels-waiting-outside-san-pedro-bay-ports-67501#:~:text=According%20to%20the%20Marine%20Exchange%20of%20Southern%20California%2C,Los%20Angeles%20are%20due%20to%20arrive%20at%20anchor.

“Cleanup on Isle . . . “

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Senator Raphael Warnock (D., Ga.) gestures during an election night party after a projected win in the midterm runoff election in Atlanta, Ga., December 6, 2022. (Carlos Barria/Reuters)

The dust is beginning to settle, or so I thought. The Trump-endorsed Herschel Walker lost in the Georgia runoff to the sharp-tongued leftist masquerading as a man of the cloth, Raphael Warnock. Georgia has a rabble-rousing socialist to represent it in the U.S. Senate, to go along with the state’s other non-card-carrying member of the Socialist International, Jon Osoff. But the state’s leadership went red. Go figure. And just as things were settling down, Arizona’s Kyrsten Sinema dropped the Democrat label yesterday morning and officially became an independent, and we are back to choking on dust again. What does all this mean? Who knows, but I suspect there’s much to clean up on isle . . . for both parties.

The Georgia situation is perplexing. The results of the 2022 elections left the state in a condition of political dissociative identity disorder (multiple personality disorder). Think about it: the radical left in the US Senate for the state and solid conservatives from the governor’s mansion to majorities in the state houses. How? What?

Republicans have some “cleanup on isle . . . ”. The mess comes in the form of the person of Donald Trump. The guy is simply not the winner of his boasts. He’s a big turn-off. He appeals to a narrow slice of the electorate, but he’s toxic in suburbia. One step forward, three steps back. Walker carried the Trump label, a liability too strong to overcome in a rough-cut newcomer.

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Some reports indicate that Trump convinced Walker to run, and thus exposed himself to the Democrats’ usual rectal examination. He came up short after the smears, but everywhere else on the ballot, Republicans did very well. Jim Geraghty of National Review Online lays out the results. He reports that Republicans in all the statewide races broke the 50% threshold in the general election and thus avoided runoffs, with the lone exception of Walker. And roughly 200,000 fewer Georgians voted for Walker in the runoff than the general. I won’t speculate on the meaning of that, but it’s clear that Walker is less appealing than the rest of the Republican slate. He’s got personal baggage, and additionally he’s got Trump to live down.

Walker joins a broad cast of characters who, instead of the union label, had the Trump label and lost. It was particularly true in battleground states, the states that Republicans have to win to become a majority. Pennsylvanians preferred a stroke victim to Oz. In the governor’s contest, Arizonians favored a millennial uptalking airhead who wouldn’t debate, and couldn’t win one, and avoided public appearances over the quick-witted, fast-talking, Trump-endorsed telecaster, Keri Lake. Like her inspiration, she’s suing and caterwauling over the election results. The Senate race wasn’t even close with Trump’s novice, Blake Masters, falling way short. To no surprise, In the deeper blue bastions of Lefty lunacy, Trump’s imprimatur didn’t prevent a shellacking.

It seems that Trump threw around his endorsements like a drunk trust-fund brat tossing chips in a Las Vegas casino. He appeared to be so flippant, focusing on the oddball, the ill-prepared, the inexperienced, anyone who could parade around under the clichéd banner “outsider”. Sometimes, there are very good reasons for some people to be “outsiders”. Trump has proven to be not very adept at distinguishing them.

Part of the Republican cleanup should include a better ground game. The Democrats adjusted the election system for theirs, which is chock full of the ill-informed, easily distracted, and unmotivated. First, they eliminated the concepts of election day and the secret ballot. The party of government used government to deform elections to their liking: depreciating personal responsibility in voting (like registering, staying informed, getting off the couch to vote in-person), and having a month to do it. Then, all they have left to do is to mine the rich veins of the politically illiterate in their base. That means a data base to identify them and the paid minions to harvest the ballots.

Certainly, it’s an insult to one man, one conscience, one vote. The loss of the “conscience” part is critical since mailing the things in the millions will land multiples of them on a kitchen table, or lie around the floor of the communal mailboxes, waiting for . . . whoever . . . to mark them. It’s a scam-made-legal. Republicans need to play the game by the Democrats’ rules.

If the Republicans succeed in shedding the Trump stigma, the Democrats’ own “cleanup on isle . . .” will be more glaring. The Democrats have to live down The Squad, “birthing people”, a reverse Jim Crow (CRT, “systemic racism”, punishing racial preferences, racial reparations, etc.), their disdain for holding hoodlums accountable for harming the innocent, the filth and degradation in places under their chronic suzerainty, and their destruction of prosperity in a wave of radical eco-mongering and spending. They will persevere in spite of their craziness if the Republicans continue to make Trump the face of the party.

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Rep. Alexandra Ocasio-Cortez (D, NY) at a Sept. 13 gala wearing a gifted “Tax the Rich” gown, for which she is being investigated for House ethics violations.

Is there a broad and popular appetite for this stuff? The Republicans offer a cult of chaotic personality. The Democrats peddle lunacy. If there ever was a good reason for complacency, this is it. I’m pinning my hopes on the Republicans’ cleanup brigade because their task is easier. All they have to do is send Trump packing. The radical chic ethos runs too deep in the Democrats.

Protest in Minneapolis against the appearance of Pres. Trump in Oct. 2019. Prominent state Democrats energized the protest crowd with their appearance and chants, including the radical Democrat State Representative Aisha Gomez (DFL-Minneapolis).

Roger

Source:
* Jim Geraghty’s take on the Georgia election scene: “Are We Ready to Learn Our Lessons Now, Republicans?”, National Review Online, Dec. 7, 2022, at https://www.nationalreview.com/the-morning-jolt/are-we-ready-to-learn-our-lessons-now-republicans/

My Back Pages (Dylan): Dylan’s Lesson for Our Young Rampaging Authoritarians

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The backstory on Dylan’s “My Back Pages” is a teaching moment for the censorious zealots who happen to dominate the commanding heights of our culture and many of our political institutions.  So are the lyrics, if rightly understood.

Here’s what I’ve been able to glean in my research into the song.  In the mid-60’s, Dylan was given the Tom Paine Award for social activism by the Emergency Civil Liberties Committee.  Before this, he was getting irritated at being pigeonholed as a radical activist.  He got drunk, made a speech at the award ceremony, and much of that speech made its way into the lyrics.  As one source put it regarding the song, “. . . Dylan intensely criticizes his younger self for his moral arrogance and intellectual naivety.  More than anything, he’s mocking his own hypocrisy.  His outlook on these subjects, on himself and on the progressive movement he lambasted from the awards ceremony pulpit . . . .”  Further, according to this source, “The way Dylan saw it, he was becoming the authoritarian by continuing on his old path.”  Sound familiar?

The song’s chorus, “I was so much older then, I’m younger than that now”, was a personal admonition for turning into a vain know-it-all.  In the following lines, he upbraids himself for his hypocrisy in becoming as narrow-minded and pushy as the other side:

“In a soldier’s stance, I aimed my hand
At the mongrel dogs who teach
Fearing not that I’d become my enemy
In the instant that I preach”

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Equality at all costs was every bit the holy grail among the radical Left in Dylan’s time as it is today among the so-called social justice warriors spitting and fulminating in lecture halls against anyone who disagrees.  Dylan saw it in the mid-60’s and portrayed it in the following lines:

“A self-ordained professor’s tongue
Too serious to fool
Spouted out that liberty is just equality in school
‘Equality,’ I spoke the word
As if a wedding vow”

What we are experiencing today is a rehash of an earlier time; only some people saw their descent into inhumanity and corrected.  Others didn’t and won’t.  The full lyrics are below.

***********

Crimson flames tied through my ears
Rolling high and mighty traps
Pounced with fire on flaming roads
Using ideas as my maps
“We’ll meet on edges soon,” said I
Proud ‘neath heated brow

Ah, but I was so much older then
I’m younger than that now

Half-wracked prejudice leaped forth
“Rip down all hate,” I screamed
Lies that life is black and white
Spoke from my skull, I dreamed
Romantic facts of musketeers
Foundationed deep, somehow

Ah, but I was so much older then
I’m younger than that now

Girl’s faces formed the forward path
From phony jealousy
To memorizing politics of ancient history
Flung down by corpse evangelists
Unthought of, though, somehow

Ah, but I was so much older then
I’m younger than that now

A self-ordained professor’s tongue
Too serious to fool
Spouted out that liberty is just equality in school
“Equality,” I spoke the word
As if a wedding vow

Ah, but I was so much older then
I’m younger than that now

In a soldier’s stance, I aimed my hand
At the mongrel dogs who teach
Fearing not I’d become my enemy
In the instant that I preach
My existence led by confusion boats
Mutiny from stern to bow

Ah, but I was so much older then
I’m younger than that now

Yes, my guard stood hard when abstract threats
Too noble to neglect
Deceived me into thinking I had something to protect
Good and bad, I define these terms
Quite clear, no doubt, somehow

Ah, but I was so much older then
I’m younger than that now

***********

Enjoy the all-star version at Dylan’s honorary concert from the 1990’s with Neil Young, Tom Petty, Roger McGuinn, Eric Clapton, George Harrison, and of course Bob Dylan (below).

RogerG

Source:

* Backstory of “My Back Pages” at https://www.songfacts.com/facts/bob-dylan/my-back-pages#:~:text=Those%20lines%20clearly%20mirror%20the%20chorus%20for%20%22My,More%20than%20anything%2C%20he%27s%20mocking%20his%20own%20hypocrisy.