President Obama to prominent donors and Democratic Party operatives in 2020: “Don’t underestimate Joe’s [Biden] ability to f&#@ things up.”
Alas, Biden has, and what he left behind in the dust is the reputation of the USA and a green light to the world’s scoundrels. We’ll be feeling the foul repercussions for decades to come.
President Biden followed his repugnant decision to flee Afghanistan with a repugnant excuse. He dismissed complaints about his bugout with, “What interest do we have in Afghanistan at this point, with al-Qaeda gone?” It’s a question, unspoken, that similarly roiled the brain of President Trump. Trump dubbed it an “endless war” (Biden liked “forever”) and scheduled his bugout in his infamous Doha Agreement that set the withdrawal for May 1, 2021. Would Trump have delayed the skedaddle? Hard to say; in fact, it’s impossible to say for sure. A tantalizing clue stems from the fact that Trump wanted out from the moment he rode down the escalator in 2015. Any contrary and hypothetical action is rank speculation. In the end, we had a succession of two presidents who could think of nothing else but getting out. One formalized the bugout in a signing ceremony in Doha; the other pushed it through, damn the torpedoes.
We forget at our peril that the US is no ordinary country. We provide the guardrails for a civilized order on a planet beset with innumerable and unpredictable villains. Our world isn’t a Sesame Street stage set. The UN can’t function as the guardians because it is a vacuous debating society populated with the same villains. That leaves the US as the hall monitor of last resort, like it or not. We’re not the “world’s policeman”; we’re the Don that the vulnerable turn to in extremis. If we abdicate the responsibility, we’ll pay a heavy price at home and abroad.
Indeed, the rush to hide behind two oceans, following the inclinations of Tucker Carlson, Trump, and the mentally corrupted Biden, would result in a US under constant siege. The only other parallel is Israel. It’s a country on a near perpetual war footing, whose existence is guaranteed by the shadow of America’s big stick. What happens when the big stick is kept behind our oceanic walls?
In turn, try to have a prosperous free economy when we must forever fortify and man the walls as the oceans and lands beyond are a playground for those who hate us. History shows that autarky (the drive for complete national self-sufficiency) is the dream of halfwits and murderous thugs, and a ticket to a medieval way of life. Adam Smith laid out the case quite clearly. Go ahead, sell it to a family of four struggling to make the mortgage, whose life was made harder because our so-called populists were popular and in office to mess up their lives.
A great deal of American engagement in the world is good for a decent everybody, and most of all, us. So, to escape a repetition of the mistake, what are the lessons of the self-inflicted catastrophe? First, unilateral withdrawals aren’t much different in their effects from humiliating surrenders. Nobody trusts you; you lose strategic positioning and intelligence-gathering benefits on the flanks of your enemies; and your real and potential allies avoid you like the plague. It’s a lose-lose in every direction.
Second, we need to clean house of our sclerotic foreign policy/defense leadership. We should start with Biden but he’s got a four-year term. If we can’t fire Biden – short of a declaration of incapacity and invocation of the 25th Amendment (not out of the realm of possibility but ultimately culminating in no improvement in fitness looking at the replacements) – we should sweep through the NSA, CIA, State and Defense Departments, anyone with fingerprints on the debacle. The Pentagon is especially a nest of gross incompetence. Austin, Milley, and some senior service commanders are ripe for the axe. Worst of all, they are responsible for the insidious imposition of the horrendous and dispiriting neo-Marxist ideology of diversity-inclusion-equity (DEI) which emasculates esprit de corps and shrivels retention and recruitment. Who wants to join an armed force run by the rants of campus snowflakes? Biden is commander-in-chief but he’s a bozo without well-balanced and strong-minded advisers. This crowd doesn’t cut the mustard.
For someone like Gen. Mark Milley, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, an illustrious career would be forever soiled by his own behavior in the runup to the calamity. Sad, so very sad.
Thirdly, we’d be less vulnerable to the dimwits in the executive branch if Congress would step up to exercise their Constitutional oversight and legislative powers in the war-making arena. Simply put, they won’t act since they’ve surrendered so much to the executive branch.
A good portion of the blame lies in the makeup of one of the major political parties. How do you get the 535 politicians in the Capitol building to act in anything like a commanding voice when one side, the Democrats, is so enthralled to a radical, neo-Marxist mindset? Bridging the gulf would only produce a semi-neo-Marxist conclusion, something highly unpalatable. The radical stridency of one party nearly rules out a cooperative coalition of both parties to defend Congressional prerogatives. The parties have so little in common. Where are the Scoop Jacksons? So long as the Democratic Party remains a revolutionary party, Congress will remain a joke.
The Republicans, on their part, should steer clear of the American Firsters that were resuscitated in the wake of the Trump ascendancy. Firebrands, cranks, and cooks are not steady hands at the tiller of state.
Since the Article I branch is a cantankerous mess, finally, Congress is not in a position to stop the administration from swinging a wrecking ball to our delicate diplomatic and defense arrangements around the world. As such, the horrific scenes that unfolded at Kabul airport were cringing to our present and possible allies as it incited dreams of new possibilities in our adversaries. Russia and the CCP’s China have every reason to follow their lusts. It could spell doom to the Ukraine and Taiwan. American perfidy just downgraded American deterrence. The Kremlin and Beijing are neither as militarily crippled nor lacking in determined leadership as they were in the 1990’s. The Afghan retreat is a replay of the police stand-down orders in Portland, Minneapolis, Kenosha, Baltimore, New York City, et al. When the cat is gone, the mice play.
Hitler parallels have become a rhetorical banality, but some are noteworthy because the similarities are so striking. Of particular relevance is the Munich Agreement of 1938. At the time, America had taken itself off the table – in a Tucker Carlson stance – as Germany shredded the Versailles Treaty and performed the March 1938 Anschluss (forced unification of Austria and prohibited by Versailles) with only a diplomatic protest in response. The League of Nations was a nonentity. The Axis allies of Italy and Japan were molesting North Africa and China respectively. A demoralized France and a Britain in the grip of appeasement were left to check Hitler’s ambitions in Eastern Europe, notably Czechoslovakia. They retreated from a defense of the small country and it was sacrificed in the subsequent Munich concord only to have much worse follow. An appeal to the hearts and minds of thugs is dangerous; after all, they’re thugs.
Afghanistan is our Munich. Should we say goodbye to the Ukraine and Taiwan as the West said arrivederci to the Sudetenland in 1938? And what of a nuke-obsessed Iran and its terror proxies surrounding Israel? Will the band of rogues be satisfied with the vast steppe west of the Urals, Formosa, and a smoldering Tel Aviv? I suspect not. They are probably just the hors d’oeuvres.
RogerG